Turkish and Saudi Designs for Carving Up Syria

Saudi Arabia advocates a Syrian Sunni Islamist regime & is establishing ties with the more radical elements in the country”
17 May, 2012 – Arab News Blog

“…Although Saudi Arabia and Turkey share a common goal in Syria, there are some tensions between their positions. First, for Turkey, managing the Syrian crisis is not a way to limit Iranian influence; instead, it is a means of protecting Turkey from chaos on its southern border. Refugees have already started flooding into Turkey — and the longer the conflict drags on, the larger the burden Ankara will have to shoulder. Further, the influence of the Turkish Kurdish party on some Syrian Kurds is worrisome for Ankara.Moreover, the Saudi and Turkish visions for post-Assad Syria differ. Saudi Arabia advocates a Sunni Islamist regime and is establishing ties with the more radical elements in the country. Turkey, on the other hand, favors the participation of all actors. Ankara is engaging and supporting the Muslim Brotherhood, while also pressuring the group to accept a more participatory and representative Syria to prevent civil war in the post-revolution era.

In the meantime, Saudi Arabia’s involvement in Syria threatens to undermine Turkey’s “zero problems” foreign policy. Saudi Arabia is already casting the conflict in Syria as a sectarian one. Thus, Ankara’s close cooperation with Riyadh — and the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood — places Turkey squarely within the so-called Sunni camp. Such a development would limit Turkey’s soft power in the region. In other words, although opportunities for rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Turkey arise from time to time, there are hard limitations to their relationship. They want different things in the region, and have different policies for getting them. On the other hand, as long as there are clear economic benefits in this bilateral relationship, both sides will gloss over their differences as long as they can.“ …more