This is the Worst Case Scenario
I’m frequently admonished by good friends who occasionally seem to think I’m ready to jump the cliff or that I am bordering on depression driven delusion, when it comes to the planets ecology, economies and wars around the globe. I’ve even been given instruction that would have me find news to share about things that are “good” in the world as a means to right my seemingly dark musings. I’m need to “balance” my perspective I’m told. I’m just a die hard activist and fascinated observer of the world, who watches and studies matters of state security, analyzes legislation before governments, follows movement toward peace and justice and any effort to save the environment and all the conflict that ensues. All of this so I can help, in some small way, shape government and participate in community groups with other friends and activists do the same.
I’m a happy person. I try to be a realist not an alarmist, but in these times it might be hard to discern the difference. I don’t depress easily. I like to think I have the courage to confront the truth about myself and events or situations in the world, even though they might be bothersome and uncomfortable. I believe it is important to get news and opinion out to friends and colleagues that lies beyond the coverage of Main Stream Media. Which is complicit with oppressive governments and corporations that rape and kill to preserve their wealth. So what comes next is scary stuff but I think people should be made aware of things that are not being said about the daily disaster in the gulf.
There has been a lot of ominous talk about “worst case scenarios” as a result of the oil spill. The extent of the disaster, while important, really makes little difference at this point. We have a catastrophic event on our hands that will kill a significant part our planet. some of it immediately and some of it over and extended period of time. We are living the worst case scenario, aside from the need for planning there is little value in entertaining the “worse of the worst case scenarios” unless you want to bum yourself out even further. We have already crossed a threshold of disaster from which recovery is impossible. The scale and dimensions of this catastrophe are unknown and may never be fully known in our life time or even in generations to come. Next to Global Climate Change this is probably one of the greatest catastrophes of human time and the catastrophe grows with each passing hour.
It is raining oil and dispersant, toxic rain, in the gulf coast region (see video here). It was expected. This rainfall comes with non-hurricane conditions and there will be hurricanes before the DH (Deep Horizon) spill is stopped or cleaned up. The oil and dispersant will carry in the atmosphere through-out the eastern part of the US and likely to travel as far North as Canada. This will occur over and again until the leak is stopped and oil is cleaned up as much as possible. The micro and macro habitats, from farm crops, livestock and flora and fauna, even the microbes in the soil will be effected. Crop and livestock kill and total environmental destruction will happen. In some places it won’t kill everything, but the various levels of contamination of crops and the soil and fresh water supplies will also occur. There is and will continue to be destruction throughout the entire food chain and micro and macro habitats for a very long time.
Safe food with respect to atmospheric petroleum contamination is largely undefined since no one has every had this problem before. What is not sorted out is the “allowable” level of petroleum based carcinogens that will now enter the food chain. There will be new epidemics of cancers, birth defects and other disease related to petroleum contamination and there will be outright death, there already is… Watch closely as big oil and big agriculture and our government try to change, protect or prevent the establishment of allowable levels of toxins in the soil and food.
The oil is moving closer by the hour to the gulf stream and the Atlantic fisheries. Between the Gulf of Mexico and the Gulf Stream the pollution will kill more than half of all the sea food produced in the USA. Some predict arrival of oil in the gulf stream (Atlantic) by late summer or early fall. BP and our Congress are all responsible for this disaster, through their greed, slothfulness and betrayal of the trust of the American people. They are both to blame.
The disaster was not caused by you and I because we consume petroleum products as some mentally ill people suggest. It was caused by the greed of the wealthy and irresponsible governance. We had an expectation that our government and corporations were in a position to keep this kind of thing from happening and they were legally and morally obliged to do so. The disaster is an act of negligence by BP and the USG.
BP can’t see financial ruin. It is too big to fail. At this point the US and UK will do what is necessary to keep BP “healthy”. BP is the world fourth largest Corporation. The top five World Corporations are: Royal Dutch Shell, Exxon, Wal-mart, BP and Chevron. So it is plain to see that an oil disaster has significant National Security and economic ramifications. The global economics are so fragile that the BP disaster maybe be all it takes to collapse the entire Western Economic base. Indeed it maybe impossible to prevent further economic collapse and it is likely the reason President Obama has not declared a National Emergency. Our economy hangs on a thread and declaration of a Nation Emergency might further ruin the wealth of the wealthiest, those who brought you this disaster.
The impact to fisheries and estuaries are already cataclysmic and will get much worse as th oil moves up the Atlantic and into the fisheries of the East Coast. Some projections have impacts felt in Scotland and Ireland, even world wide. Many of the most optimistic projections do not show the situation being stabilized before next spring. The Russian Interior Ministry reports sever impacts to North America, even massive uninhabitable dead zones. (see report here). This disaster make the Russia’s Chernobyl disaster (see Chernobyl) a minor catastrophe in comparison.
As the situation continues, regional power generation and supply chains that depend on the Mississippi are in jeopardy. Water that is used to cool nuclear reactors that produce electricity may cause the reactors be shutdown periodically as the oil migrates up the Mississippi. Fuel off-loading depots that supply half of the regions fuel are under threat. Fresh water supplies are being trashed and will be trashed in an ever widening death zone.
This is one of the greatest disasters in human history and President Obama seems a “deer caught in the headlights”. He has not declared a National Emergency and has not taken charge of the situation. Rather he has opted to appear as a BP poster child, eating seafood on a cleaned up beach. Sheer fucking madness. Obama has done little to inform the people of the United States of the breath of the disaster and it’s remedies. In fact the USG seem complicit with BP at confusing people about the truth of the disaster. The cost of the disaster will ultimately be paid for by the consumers and tax payers at a cost so great that it will probably never be known. The misdirection is a ruse to protect a global economy already hanging by a thread.
There will be international claims as nations in the gulf are affected by BP’s and the USG’s negligence. Political hostilities and opportunism will increase toward the US as the oil spill effect those states. The environmental crisis created by the oil spill will exacerbate the continued financial crisis and will cause domestic uprising.
This event is a life changer for everyone one in the United States and beyond. Those hardest hit will be the gulf states and those on the east coast where oil and dispersant come ashore. People should be prepared for impacts through out the US including population displacement, food shortages, supply chain interruption and power and fuel shortages. Now is the time to make plans to help those you know in the gulf region.
Save yourself don’t count of the USG or BP to do a fucking thing.
June 24, 2010 4 Comments