- — Eurozone Current Account Surplus Rises in February
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at 4/17/26 3:00pmThe Eurozone’s current account surplus widened to €21.1 billion in February 2026 from €18.1 billion in the same month last year, driven by a stronger services surplus, which rose to €8.6 billion from €4.7 billion, and a shift in the primary income to balance from a previous deficit of €7.7 billion. However, the goods surplus ...- — Ankara pushes deeper economic ties with Astana ahead of Erdoğan visit
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at 4/17/26 3:00pmAstana and Ankara aim to boost trade, diversify exports and launch joint industrial projects ahead of Erdoğan’s state visit to Kazakhstan, setting a goal of $15 billion in trade volumes. Kazakhstan and Türkiye are moving towards a more practical model of economic cooperation, focusing on diversifying trade and launching joint industrial projects, Kazakh prime minister ... - — China Economy: China’s economy in first quarter of 2026 shows resilience amid global slowdown concerns
- at 4/17/26 3:00pmChinas GDP grows by 5% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, despite a backdrop of complex global challenges including the Middle East crisis. This comes as the International Monetary Fund has lowered its 2026 global growth forecast, citing rising geopolitical risks and potential disruptions to energy markets. Dai Kaiyi reports. Chinas economy got off ...
- — Strait of Hormuz disruptions force GlobalData to downgrade Gulf economic outlook
- at 4/17/26 3:00pmThe war between Israel and Iran has sharply weakened economic outlook across the Gulf, with disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz driving significant downward revisions to 2026 GDP growth forecasts. Rising shipping risks, higher costs, and delayed trade flows are affecting multiple sectors, undermining business confidence and investment decisions across the region, according to the ...
- — ECB’s Lagarde says inflation risks tilted upward amid Iran conflict
- at 4/17/26 3:00pmEuropean Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said Friday that risks to the region’s price outlook are skewed to the upside as officials assess the economic impact of the Iran conflict. Risks to the outlook are tilted to the upside, especially in the near term while the medium-term implications will depend on the intensity and duration ...
- — Euro area international trade in goods surplus €11.5 bn
- at 4/17/26 3:00pmThe first estimates of euro area balance showed a €11.5 bn surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world in February 2026, compared with + €23.1 bn in February 2025. The euro area exports of goods to the rest of the world in February 2026 were €232.4 billion, a decrease of 6.7% ...
- — Europe is about twice as sensitive to oil shocks vs the US
- at 4/17/26 3:00pmEurope’s economy is about twice as sensitive to shocks as the United States, across both inflation and growth, a Bank of America economist says, as disruption to global energy supplies from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continues to reverberate. Using a vector autoregression model, global economist Antonio Gabriel found that a 10% oil ...
- — EU’s employment rate grew above 76% in 2025
- at 4/17/26 11:00amIn 2025, 76.1% (197.7 million people) of the EU’s 20 to 64-year-olds were employed, the highest share recorded since the start of the time series in 2009. The employment rate was up 0.3 percentage points (pp) compared with 2024 and 0.8 pp compared with 2023. Among EU countries, the highest employment rates were recorded in ...
- — Weak Demand and External Shocks Weigh on China Credit
- at 4/17/26 11:00amChina’s credit outlook remains constrained by weak domestic demand, while the US-Iran war has added external pressure through weaker energy, trade and global demand, Fitch Ratings says. A ceasefire reduces the risk of a more severe disruption, but slower normalisation in oil flows and regional logistics would intensify credit pressure. China’s main credit challenge remains ...
- — China’s GDP beats expectations amid intensifying global headwinds
- at 4/17/26 4:00amChinas GDP started 2026 off strong Chinas GDP came in at 5.0% year-on-year in the first quarter, beating the market and our expectations for a more modest start to the year. This 5.0% level was in line with the 2025 full-year growth and the fastest since the second quarter of 2025. The services sector gets ...
- — Bets on Fed rate cut by year-end grow after Iran truce
- at 4/17/26 4:00amInvestors increased bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts after the U.S. and Iran agreed to a two-week cease-fire. The probability of at least one rate cut by December rose to 43% from 14% a day earlier, according to CME Group data. Market expectations for Fed policy shifted dramatically since the war began, moving from ...
- — BoE warns of ‘substantial shock’ as Middle East conflict rattles global stability
- at 4/17/26 4:00amThe Bank of England’s Financial Policy Committee warned Wednesday that the conflict in the Middle East has triggered a substantial shock to the global economy, increasing risks to financial stability through higher energy prices and volatile markets. The conflict between Israel and the United States, and Iran has effectively halted shipping through the Strait of ...
- — US Manufacturing Output Falls in March
- at 4/16/26 3:00pmManufacturing output in the United States decreased 0.1% month-over-month in March 2026, missing market expectations for a 0.1% gain and after moving up 0.4% in February. In March, a decrease of 0.2% in the production of durable goods reflected weaker output of motor vehicles and parts, which fell 3.7%, as well as declines in the ...
- — NY Services Activity Contraction Eases in April
- at 4/16/26 3:00pmThe Federal Reserve Bank of New Yorks general business activity index, which tracks economic activity in New York State as well as parts of New Jersey and Connecticut, rose nine points to -14 in April 2026. Twenty-four percent of respondents reported that conditions improved over the month while 38 percent said that conditions worsened. The ...
- — Fed’s Williams warns Iran war driving up inflation pressures
- at 4/16/26 3:00pmFederal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said Thursday that the Middle East war is driving up inflationary pressures and warned the process has already begun to play out. Developments in the Middle East are driving significant increases in energy prices, which are already lifting overall inflation, Williams said in remarks to the ...
- — Trade in goods with China in 2025
- at 4/16/26 3:00pmIn 2025, the EU exported €199.6 billion worth of goods to China and imported €559.4 billion, resulting in a trade deficit of €359.8 billion. Compared with 2024, exports decreased by 6.5% while imports increased by 6.4%. When looking at 2015, exports increased by 37.1% from €145.6 billion and imports by 89.0% from €295.9 billion. Machinery ...
- — China Industrial Capacity Utilization Hits 2-Year Low
- at 4/16/26 3:00pmChina’s industrial capacity utilization rate fell to 73.6 percent in the first quarter of 2026 from 74.1 percent in the same period a year earlier. This marked the lowest reading since the first quarter of 2024, driven by lower production across the three major categories, such as the mining industry (72.1 percent vs 74.6 percent ...
- — UK Manufacturing Output Unexpectedly Falls
- at 4/16/26 3:00pmManufacturing production in the UK edged down 0.1% month-on-month in February 2026, against market forecasts of a 0.3% rise and reversing an upwardly revised 0.2% gain in January. Output dropped in six of the thirteen subsectors, with the largest negative contributions coming from transport equipment (-2.1% vs 3.6% in January), basic metals and metal products ...
- — The world waits for a climbdown
- at 4/16/26 3:00pmOur new base case scenario It was 1983 when the movie WarGames taught a generation that the only winning move in a nuclear standoff is not to play. Forty-plus years later, economists find themselves in a similar bind, except we don’t have the luxury of walking away from the board. Wars have become our subject ...
- — We (still) don’t expect the Bank of England to hike rates
- at 4/16/26 3:00pmNo, the UK is not more vulnerable to the coming inflation shock Financial markets are still applying the 2022 playbook to the Bank of England. The scale of repricing in interest rate expectations has been more dramatic than either the eurozone or the US. The implied UK rate one year from now has risen a ...
- — Annual inflation up to 2.6% in the euro area
- at 4/16/26 3:00pmUp to 2.8% in the EU Overview The euro area annual inflation rate was 2.6% in March 2026, up from 1.9% in February. A year earlier, the rate was 2.2%. European Union annual inflation was 2.8% in March 2026, up from 2.1% in February. A year earlier, the rate was 2.5%. These figures are published ...
As of 4/18/26 2:59pm. Last new 4/17/26 5:06pm.
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